ENSO remains Neutral, despite sub-surface waters in the tropical Pacific showing signs of cooling in recent weeks; atmospheric indicators remain mostly neutral.
Australian Bureau of Meteorology model predicts further cooling of the tropical Pacific is likely, with the potential of reaching La Niña levels briefly during spring and returning to neutral in summer. Similarly, international models indicate some further cooling is likely, also reaching La Niña levels during spring, with all but one returning to neutral by the end of summer.